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India, China destined to be rivals: Former NSA M K Narayanan

Agencies

Posted: Nov 01, 2012 at 1557 hrs IST
Former NSA M K Narayanan says that potential for a conflict also exists as competition between India and China for new energy sources intensify.

Melbourne Underlining that India and China are to an extent destined by geography to be "rivals", West Bengal Governor and former National Security Advisor M K Narayanan today said Beijing's increasing assertiveness on its part while dealing with disputes is "most disconcerting".

He also said Chinese activities in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir and its "not-so-subtle wooing" of some of India's neighbours to New Delhi's detriment is a matter of concern.

Narayanan added that potential for a conflict also exists as competition between India and China for new energy sources intensify.

"To some extent, China and India are destined by geography to be rivals: neighbours with large populations, old civilisations, rich and venerable cultures, and disputes with regard to their borders," Narayanan, who is also a former chief of the Intelligence Bureau said in his keynote address at the annual Australia India Institute conference on India here.

"The two countries are, nevertheless, far apart civilisationally and in their makeup," he said adding that "elected accountability in India is an important point of difference".

Addressing the large gathering, Narayanan said strategic rivalries were on the rise in Asian region.

Most analysts see the main rivalry in Asia as being between India and China though both countries disclaim the existence of such rivalry, he said.

Moreover, Chinese scholars appear unable to comprehend the true nature of India's ethnic, religious, ideological and economic makeup.

The strident claims made by Chinese academics and strategic thinkers for Chinese exceptionalism hardly helps, Narayanan, who was also involved in negotiations for resolving boundary disputes with China said.

He drew a stark contrast between the two Asian nations by stating that while the Chinese economy was assessed today as the second largest in the world with its GDP at USD 10 trillion and is still growing, India's economic performance has not been of the same order.

"What is, however, most disconcerting today – as China's economic muscle expands – is increasing assertiveness on its part while dealing with disputes, whether on land or sea," he said.

The West Bengal Governor said, "China's activities in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir are very troubling for India. Its not-so-subtle wooing of some of India's neighbours to India's detriment is a cause of concern".

He said the strategic fallout of China's policy of building advantageous power relationships on India's periphery and beyond, is "forcing" India to sit up and take notice.

"Potential for a conflict also exists as competition between India and China for new energy sources intensifies, with China moving aggressively into West Asia and elsewhere", he added.

Both countries are, however, conscious of possible miscalculations.

Both are anxious to lower the threshold of concern, he said while noting that border remained quiet with several other structures in place for discussion and negotiations.

Narayanan also referred to perceived rivalry with Pakistan and said the challenge that India faced in dealing with Pakistan was very different from that it faces in its dealings with China.

"India's desire for improvement in relations stems from its belief that a friendly neighbourhood will enhance India's capacity for growth and fulfilment of many of its objectives," he said.

"India cannot possibly rest easy unless there is a distinct change in Pakistan's attitude. Pakistan possesses one of the world's biggest armies, one that is equipped with a

rapidly growing nuclear arsenal," he said.

He pointed out that for years, Pakistan has employed asymmetric warfare as a strategic instrumentality to keep India off balance.

There does not, hence, appear to be any easy or quick solution to the prevailing standoff, but the search for a modus vivendi continues, he said.

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India/China destined to be rivals. by F/Lt.T.Bose (IAF.Retd.) on 01 Nov 2012

I could not AGREE MORE with Mr.Narayanan!In my previous comments to your newspaper,I have quoted EXACTLY THE SAME REASONS that Mr.Naranayan has stated for the rivalry between these two countries! It is NOT WORDS,BUT DEEDS THAT MATTER,& China by its actions has proved beyond doubt that China sees India AS ITS ENEMY!! JAI HIND!

mk narayanan by sheker on 01 Nov 2012

The comments made by Mr. MKN emanates for previous history and the current polarities faced by us neighbours and all throughout the world. There is no way anyone can dispute with MKN analysis on the present scenario, which is coming straight from an outstanding,intelligent and clever diplomat of the highest rank. various politicians, academicians, journalists and other career diplomats, may want to differ for the sake of argument and upmanship, but the bitter truth we have to accept and admit is we are even currently no match for China or able to negate the ploys and machinations used by Pakistan be it non state or state actors. Miscalculations will be a severe price for both China and India, despite the large disparity in military and economic prowess at the command of the chinese people and regime. In china the people are for the country and state whereas we in India and now its stigma driven politicians are only leaving the country to its fate and dictums of other prowler nation

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