He said the recession has "shut the Chinese exports shop", creating an "unprecedented internal social unrest" which in turn, was severely threatening the grip of the Communists over the society. Among other reasons for this assessment were rising unemployment, flight of capital worth billions of dollars, depletion of its foreign exchange reserves and growing internal dissent, Verma said in an editorial in the forthcoming issue of the premier defence journal.
In addition to this, "The growing irrelevance of Pakistan, their right hand that operates against India on their behest, is increasing the Chinese nervousness," he said, adding that US President Barak Obama's Af-Pak policy was primarily Pak-Af policy that has "intelligently set the thief to catch the thief".
Verma said Beijing was "already rattled, with its proxy Pakistan now literally embroiled in a civil war, losing its sheen against India." "Above all, it is worried over the growing alliance of India with the US and the West, because the alliance has the potential to create a technologically superior counterpoise. "All these three concerns of Chinese Communists are best addressed by waging a war against pacifist India to achieve multiple strategic objectives," he said.
While China "covertly allowed" North Korea to test underground nuclear explosion and carry out missile trials, it was also "increasing its naval presence in South China Sea to coerce into submission those opposing its claim on the Sprately Islands," the defence expert said. He said it would be "unwise" at this point of time for a recession-hit China to move against the Western interests, including Japan. "Therefore, the most attractive option is to attack a soft target like India and forcibly occupy its territory in the Northeast," Verma said.
But India is "least prepared" on ground to face the Chinese threat, he says and asks a series of questions on how will India respond to repulse the Chinese game plan or whether Indian leadership would be able to "take the heat of war". "Is Indian military equipped to face the two-front wars by Beijing and Islamabad? Is the Indian civil administration geared to meet the internal security challenges that the external actors will sponsor simultaneously through their doctrine of unrestricted warfare? "The answers are an unequivocal 'no'. Pacifist India is not ready by a long shot either on the internal or the external front," the defence journal editor says.
In view of the "imminent threat" posed by China, "the quickest way to swing out of pacifism to a state of assertion is by injecting military thinking in the civil administration to build the sinews. That will enormously increase the deliverables on ground -- from Lalgarh to Tawang," he says.
If china attacks india again it not win at all because now india is also in the list of the most powerful countries in the world because of it's intercontinential ballaastic missile Agni-5 and by the way china won the war of 1962 by cheating with india
If China attacks India with in 3 year then that would be either War of Supremacy or War of Territory. In the War of Supremacy china needs to humiliate Indian Army, If they fail then India become a super power in Asia which means china is at losing side. If the war china wants to wage is Territorial then we are in trouble. Since china would coerced Pakistan to attack us at the same time making it Two front war. US who wants to keep china happy will not engage military but on diplomatic front. Giving time for china to conquer India Tertiary and fortify. Only way India can with stand the china attack to keep Pakistan out of war. Remember china military is better then ours as of now
India wil give up territory without war becoz our political leader stands for black peace.Our Military leader's supporting them are impotent
Girisha, i dont think so as they didnt done the same during '99 kargil' war !!
That time the italian and a toothless sardar wasn't ruling the country!!!
that will be the very big mistake of china..... if they`ll do it.
whtever the leadership today,,they would manage to come up with soemthing that will impress all the public of india... sure they will manage... and sure india would win ....keep plannning and better planning..... next time think for diferent kind of leadership....like Subhash Chandra Bose... instead Nehru who gifted china the permanent membership of UN.
India must not allow China to win again thinking China will never attach India. It is not the man power, but it is the power and preparedness that wins. Truth eventually wins, but you have to wait a long, very long time. Let's not be naive!
I think only option left for India to depend on our own feet because as much as you depend on other as much as we lost our own power of creation and I believe such a country which are freed from 100 year and we nearly reach over there in very less time as compare to other china have no knowledge of equipment which we create with our own land no doub't like America who depend but only in cooperation not full buy from other Russia provide us great support no doubt but they sell same equipment to China in more quantity even they reverse and make for their own like they copy the su27 but we have to learn from them as they slowly2 learn to stand on their own feet why we can not when we have the best IITN we need help and collaboration and France is great option I don't know when these politics and the people going to understand I request to Mr President of India waste money on technology not always waste on buy them because as I am student and I feel logic will come only by doing program
no country is going to fight. this is totally nonsense, India and china both have nuclear weapons what if they both use the nuclear weapon ,30 to 40 nuclear bomb is enough to end this world by so called phenomenon( nuclear Holocaust)so don't sweat guys there will be no war in near future(big war)
INDIA may win the war , because we are the second fastest growing country and we have the support of THE US ,who has the world's most powerful army .The thing we need to do is to have the japsnese co-operation in the war when china starts attacking INDIA the only way they select is NEPAL because we have more army perssonels in arunachalpradesh and kashmir when they attack us we must start attacking china from its east where our warship was standing we must attack from JAPAN and SOUTH CHINA SEA by doing this we can win the war
Corrupted Indians will loose the war if China attacks them
Hi Piraveen, You are correct. The corruption of India has reached it's peak now. In the Indian history, this is the first time the political leaders who ruled the country involved in Himalayan height corruption and still managed to escape from the hands of law. This is very shame for India and Indian leadership. I hope the poor Indian will prosper at least under the leadership of China.
@Mr.Ravi and Mr.Piravahan- Guys during a war, corruption cannot take place because the people of the country are all into supporting are country. The PM and President commands the army and top generals do all the good work.Money from corrupt ministers are going to go if three is a serious war between INDIA AND CHINA which is going to be serious.
It is a matter of great concern and something is definately required to wake up our cowardic UPA Circus , who seems to be least bothered ? The question is how can we do that? do u have any idea? I am really deeply worried about our country.
IF this thing happens then do we have tht much power to fight back?????
As recent development it seems that china preparing for war against India and Pakistan will help china in this war.I agree that this will be a great problem.We should need a friend who can help as Russia.As i think that Israel will be our best friend.We should take His Help.Don t' think for vote policy.We should think for our Country not for personal Interest.
Hope the communist china will be destroyed by US, we all say US is a threat to world peace and just forget that how much propagande the red country actually uses to convince the west for being peaceful and democracy. China is the biggest treath in the world! They are smart and have good tacticts to rise
IF CHINA AND PAKISTAN ATTACKED INDIA WILL RESPOND TERRIBLEY UPON CHINA AND PAKISTAN.
Hello, How can you say the India will respond terribly if China and Pakistan attack India. China already encroached in Himalaya pradesh and Arunasala pradesh. Recently it started to tease India in the Jammu Kashmir as well. how did India respond to all of these issues. only responded by a "dont attitude". India already failed in front of china in the diplomatic war. It means that India does not have a visionary leadership like Indra Ghandi or Nerhu to wage a war against china or Pakistan. Not even has the good policy makers in the public service of India. India does not have any friendly neighbor along it's boundary. Not only China and Pakistan but also the tiny state Sri Lanka also is waiting for it's time to take a revenge on India.It is an utter failure of Indian foreign policy. First of all India should be ruled by a patriotic leader not by a foreigner who does not have enough knowledge and interest about the world largest democracy.
Indian ICBMs are capable of carrying warheads to Beijing and can truly devastate China too,......coming to Pakistan Indias interceptor missiles can never let any pakistani LOW TECHNOLOGY MISSILE enter India,...and they should not abuse Gandhiji because he got Indian Union freedom not only just India but also Pakistan,...as Jinnah wasnt able to get independence to INDIAN UNION neither he gave Independence to Pakistan,...he just cut out a chunk of India when it was already independent and GANDHIJI got India independence not any sick narrow minded minister!!!........well coming to China India also have NUCLEAR ARSENAL AND LARGER than PAKISTAN's!!!
india looks silent in issues so dont think india is weak if it starts attaking even U.S will fall to indias feet
India is silent, so that doesn't mean India is afrid. India will hit back when required.
before it attacks the whole world,the incresing navy army suggests that they are on a big mission with arms and ammunations.may be they have something to achieve or terror the world
India should take help of Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan to fight against China.
China wil not invade india, not in the near future. It's on the verge to become a economic superpower. Any war wil reverse this process which it can't afford it. As regarding pakistan, it neither has the military nor economy to match that of India's. Any indian naval blockade wil result in pakistan's oil supplies running out within few weeks but we must be sure that its guerilla warfare in the form of terrorism wil continue.
it should not be happened to our country . it is impossible to occupy our country . an defence and security to be increased in the boundaries of our country . an in our country so much youth is available in our country please support them to join in defence service . and our media is not showing the real most wanted news to our country people so please take some severe action on these media
It has been said that the Pakis have the 3 highest Nuclear arsenal.They will not hesitate to use it on India. The fact that the pakis have been shown up and embarrassed with the Bin laden episode, that now they are going to take out their red faced anger out on India as they will never raise their eye brow against the US. India does not have the advanced ammunition nor the guts to fight anyone.the Gandhi policy never worked in the 1940's nor will it work in todays world.
Our impotent politicians are not capable of protecting our country from the enemies and they are only interested in filling their own pockets by looting the nation. Let the god to decide our fate....
Dear SV Singh, The situation present and one existed on 1971 are not same. In 1971 there was Soviet union who made an iron mask of protection for India from any third power interfering in the conflict. US and china was blindly supporting pakistan. US presented a resoloution in the united nation security council demanding India to order an immediate ceas-fire and unless India ready for a ceas-fire authorizing UN to interfere. It was obvious that the war will be tilted infavour of pakistan in case of a US interaction. The same resolotion was presented 3 times in securuity council and all the 3 times were vetoed by Soviet union. The US even went on sendign its 7th naval fleet to the bay of Bengal to threaten India and it was beacuse of the strong soviet resistance the 7th fleet returned. The Question is that Is there any such power now support India incase of a joint attack by China and Pakistan. We cannot expect anything more from US than in 1971.
I salute our brave army who were unable to even get once into China, and when china started beating, and pakistan started beating us, we went running to United Nations to beg to save our asses. We are same nation that do not listen to United Nations, as they have passed a resolution to let Kashmiris decide their fate, but we're shameless enough to ignore them. We're super heros who beat the crap out of defenseless Kashmiris. We will always invade Pakistan if Pakistan army lets us do that, but I must say that we will want to do this if entire pakistan army is on leave. Oh wait, yes I have my diapers ready, but who knows, they love ashwerya but they still have rifles. Ash can be used as sheild, but diapers are necessary to stop the shoo shoo from pouring out if Pakistani soldiers show up and we're scared. Also, our western allies are coming up with hi tech diapers, but a diaper is still a diaper, and facing bullets is what I hate the most. You know, the motherland, the sacred india, is